Thahbib Rahman
Research Analyst
Last Updated:
July 16, 2026
•
7 Minutes
Crypto Risk Appetite Report 16th July 2026
This week's edition of our Market Sentiment Report.
BLOCK SCHOLES BTC RISK APPETITE INDEX
Our in-house Risk-Appetite Index is continuing to rebound, having bottomed around -1.25 and now approaching the -1 level. Spot price has consolidated around $64-65K after two softer-than-expected inflation prints this week, causing markets to price out immediate expectations for a July rate hike, further supporting sentiment.
BTC SPOT RETURNS AFTER RISK APPETITE INDEX CROSSES FROM BELOW -1 THRESHOLD
BLOCK SCHOLES ETH RISK APPETITE INDEX
The Risk-Appetite index in ETH has now crossed over -1, which has historically preceded a transition towards more bullish spot price momentum. For now, ETH is holding up above $1,800, supported by two-days of spot ETF inflows.
ETH SPOT RETURNS AFTER RISK APPETITE INDEX CROSSES FROM BELOW -1 THRESHOLD
Data behind Risk Appetite charts: BlockScholes BTC/ETH/ SOL/ SUI/ XRP composite spot index price. Available via the BlockScholes REST API.
BLOCK SCHOLES ALTCOIN RISK APPETITE INDEX
BLOCK SCHOLES XRP RISK APPETITE INDEX
BLOCK SCHOLES SUI RISK APPETITE INDEX
BLOCK SCHOLES SOL RISK APPETITE INDEX
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PREMIUM
Institutional
Crypto Risk Appetite Report 16th July 2026
This week's edition of our Market Sentiment Report.
Free
PREMIUM
Institutional
Fed Officials Weigh the AI Boom's Inflation Impact as Wholesale Prices Cool
Wholesale inflation cooled again, with headline PPI up 5.5% YoY against a 6.2% forecast and core PPI at 4.7% versus 5.2% expected, reinforcing Tuesday's soft CPI; the S&P 500 closed up 0.38% while the Nasdaq-100 fell 0.28% as chipmakers dragged, and BTC held between $64.5K and $65.5K. Fed Chair Warsh, John Williams and Lisa Cook all weighed whether the AI investment boom is inflationary, with Williams calling rates well positioned and Cook prepared to act, while further US strikes on Iran — including its first attack on a supertanker — kept Brent between $84 and $86.
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Bitcoin Rebounds Above $64K as Soft June CPI Slashes Fed Hike Bets
June CPI printed sharply below expectations — headline inflation fell 0.4% MoM to a 3.5% annual rate and core eased to 2.6% YoY — sending front-end yields lower, cutting the odds of a July Fed hike from 40% to 17%, and lifting risk assets: BTC rose around 3.3% to roughly $64,700 and ETH outperformed, up around 5.3% to about $1,880. The ECB selected 36 banks and payment firms, including Deutsche Bank, Revolut and Stripe, for a 12-month digital euro pilot; the CFTC ordered Kalshi to keep its prediction-market trades in place against a state-court challenge; Tether led a $7M round in payments firm Pact Labs; and EthSystems spun out of the Ethereum Foundation to build confidential onchain infrastructure for institutions.