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Last Updated:  
April 9, 2025
2 min read

Good Medicine Is Bitter?

So far this week both US equities and treasuries have been selling off. Those selloffs accelerated following President Trump's announcement of 104% tariffs on Chinese imports. Concurrent to the equity selloff which has seen the SPX fall 12% lower than before Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs, the 30Y yield is now at its highest since November 2023 and 10Y yields have surged over 30bps this week so far. The MOVE index, a gauge of US Treasuries’ implied volatility, has risen to its highest levels since October 2023 and similarly, at-the-money implied volatility for BTC has spiked upwards over the past 24 hours across all tenors too, particularly at shorter-maturities which has further steepened the inverted term structure.

Daily Updates:

  • As we have covered in various iterations of our Daily Update, Trump and his administration have not been shy from expressing their focus on the long-end of the yield curve, particularly bringing longer-term yields down. President Trump also recently said “I don’t want anything to go down [referring to the stock market], but sometimes you have to take medicine to fix something”. So far this week, both US treasuries and equities have been selling off.
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