Back to Research
Last Updated:  
December 18, 2025
7 min read

Coinbase Rolling Out Tokenized Stock Trading

Bitcoin returned to $86,600 early Thursday after briefly spiking near $90,000 at the US market open, while ETH weakened from the $3,000 area to around $2,800. BTC is consolidating in the $85–90k area following the pullback and our BTC RAI has stabilised and started to edge higher; ETH has broadly held around the $3.0–3.3k area recently and the ETH RAI has also improved modestly from recent lows. XRP spot ETFs have seen a continuous run of net positive daily inflows since launch (total net inflow $1.03B), with XRP up +0.78% to around $1.87. Market expectations remain towards the Fed holding rates next month (FedWatch 73.4% / Polymarket 76%), while the BoE is expected to cut 25bp this afternoon and the ECB to hold, alongside headlines including the Fed withdrawing its 2023 “novel activities” policy, Coinbase’s planned rollout of tokenised stocks and prediction markets, and Hut 8’s 15-year $7.0B River Bend lease with Fluidstack backed by Google.

Find out our latest reports, listed below:

Market Snapshot: Overnight Moves

Daily Updates:

  • Bitcoin returned to $86,600 early Thursday, after sharply spiking near $90,000 at the US market open. 
  • ETH also weakened, decreasing yesterday afternoon from the $3,000 area to around $2,800, where it is currently trading. 
  • As BTC is consolidating in the $85-90k area following the recent pullback, while our BTC Risk Appetite index has stabilised and begun to grind higher from its latest downside.
  • ETH presents a similar picture: ETH spot has been holding broadly around the $3.0-3.3k area, and the ETH Risk Appetite index has improved modestly from recent lows.
  • On the altcoin side, XRP spot ETFs have recorded a continuous streak of net positive daily inflows since their launch, with the total net inflow of $1.03B. XRP is up +0.78% on the day, trading around $1.87.
  • Market expectations remain towards the Federal Reserve holding rates at next month’s meeting. The CME Group’s FedWatch Tool implies a 73.4% probability of no cut, while Polymarket assigns a 76% chance that rates stay within the 3.50%–3.75% target range.
  • According to Reuters, U.S. President Donald Trump said on Wednesday that he will soon name the next Federal Reserve chair and signalled a clear preference for materially easier policy.
  • “I’ll soon announce our next chairman of the Federal Reserve, someone who believes in lower interest rates by a lot,” Trump said, adding that “early in the new year, you will see this.” 
  • The Bank of England is widely expected to deliver a 25bp cut at its December 2025 meeting this afternoon, taking the Bank Rate to 3.75%. If realised, it would mark the first reduction since August, following decisions to hold policy steady in September and November.
  • This afternoon also, the ECB is widely expected to hold rates steady for a fourth consecutive meeting in December 2025, keeping the main refinancing rate at 2.15%.
  • The Federal Reserve has withdrawn its 2023 policy on Wednesday that effectively discouraged Fed-supervised state member banks from pursuing “novel” activities, an approach that, in practice, tightened the perimeter for many crypto-related services. The Fed framed the shift as reflecting “evolving views on risks” as its understanding of innovation has developed.
  • Under the 2025 framework, FDIC-insured state member banks remain constrained by FDI Act Section 24, while uninsured state member banks can seek case-by-case Fed approval for activities not permitted to insured peers, an approach with real-world implications given the prior policy’s role in cases such as Custodia Bank’s master account denial.
  • World Liberty Financial, a project backed by the Trump family, has proposed allocating 5% of its WLFI token treasury to support the expansion of its USD1 stablecoin.
  • The proposal, shared on the World Liberty Financial governance forum on Wednesday, notes that increasing the supply of USD1 is expected to strengthen demand across WLFI-governed services, while also supporting integrations, liquidity incentives and the project’s wider ecosystem initiatives.
  • Bitcoin mining company Hut 8 Corp. (Nasdaq, TSX: HUT), has signed a 15-year, $7.0B triple-net lease agreement of its River Bend data center campus in Louisiana, with AI company Fluidstack, covered by a financial backstop from Google.
  • This covers 245 megawatts (MW) of IT capacity, with the contract expected to generate $6.9B in cumulative net operating income, The agreement also includes three five-year renewal options that could lift total contract value to approximately $17.7B and grants Fluidstack a Right of First Offer for up to an additional 1,000 MW of future capacity.
  • Coinbase has announced the rollout of tokenized stock trading and prediction markets for its US users over the coming weeks.
  • At launch, the platform will offer a limited selection of tokenized stocks, with plans to expand to thousands more individual equities and exchange-traded funds in the coming months, accessible using either fiat or USDC. The service will feature zero trading fees, allow buying and selling five days a week including outside standard market hours, and is set to expand further with 24/7 tokenized equity access via the upcoming Coinbase Tokenize platform, alongside the planned rollout of stock-linked perpetual contracts early next year.
  • Additionally, Coinbase is partnering with Kalshi to add Coinbase-based prediction markets to its own platform, powered by Kalshi’s regulated infrastructure.

This Week’s Calendar:

Charts of the Day:

Figure 1. Block Scholes BTC Risk-Appetite Index (white, left-hand axis) and BTC spot price (orange, right-hand axis)
Figure 2. Block Scholes ETH Risk-Appetite Index (white, left-hand axis) and ETH spot price (purple, right-hand axis)
Figure 4. ETH at-the-money implied volatility across selected tenors. Source: Deribit, Block Scholes
Figure 5. BTC 25-delta put-call skew ratio across selected tenors. Source: Deribit, Block Scholes
Figure 6. ETH 25-delta put-call skew ratio across selected tenors. Source: Deribit, Block Scholes
Share this post
Copy URL
www.blockscholes.com/premium-research/coinbase-rolling-out-tokenized-stock-trading

Find out our latest reports, listed below:

Daily Updates

  • Bitcoin returned to $86,600 early Thursday, after sharply spiking near $90,000 at the US market open. 
  • ETH also weakened, decreasing yesterday afternoon from the $3,000 area to around $2,800, where it is currently trading. 
  • As BTC is consolidating in the $85-90k area following the recent pullback, while our BTC Risk Appetite index has stabilised and begun to grind higher from its latest downside.
  • ETH presents a similar picture: ETH spot has been holding broadly around the $3.0-3.3k area, and the ETH Risk Appetite index has improved modestly from recent lows.
  • On the altcoin side, XRP spot ETFs have recorded a continuous streak of net positive daily inflows since their launch, with the total net inflow of $1.03B. XRP is up +0.78% on the day, trading around $1.87.
  • Market expectations remain towards the Federal Reserve holding rates at next month’s meeting. The CME Group’s FedWatch Tool implies a 73.4% probability of no cut, while Polymarket assigns a 76% chance that rates stay within the 3.50%–3.75% target range.

Market Snapshot: Overnight Moves

Find out our latest reports, listed below:

Daily Updates

  • Bitcoin returned to $86,600 early Thursday, after sharply spiking near $90,000 at the US market open. 
  • ETH also weakened, decreasing yesterday afternoon from the $3,000 area to around $2,800, where it is currently trading. 
  • As BTC is consolidating in the $85-90k area following the recent pullback, while our BTC Risk Appetite index has stabilised and begun to grind higher from its latest downside.
  • ETH presents a similar picture: ETH spot has been holding broadly around the $3.0-3.3k area, and the ETH Risk Appetite index has improved modestly from recent lows.
  • On the altcoin side, XRP spot ETFs have recorded a continuous streak of net positive daily inflows since their launch, with the total net inflow of $1.03B. XRP is up +0.78% on the day, trading around $1.87.
  • Market expectations remain towards the Federal Reserve holding rates at next month’s meeting. The CME Group’s FedWatch Tool implies a 73.4% probability of no cut, while Polymarket assigns a 76% chance that rates stay within the 3.50%–3.75% target range.

Market Snapshot: Overnight Moves